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WHERE IS THE ROAD MAP TO ECONOMIC RECOVERY?

By in Print

One of the mistakes I believe the Government of St Lucia made, was not to fully articulate a road map to the population as to how we are to climb ourselves out of this miry fiscal clay. While the 5% pay cut has dominated the discussions, by the government’s own admission, this measure will create a saving of less than 20% of the budget deficit for this year. It does not solve the problem. The Government of Barbados has to be applauded in that they chose to present such a road map to the country and have created a nineteen (19) month Fiscal Adjustment Programme and a Medium Term Growth and Development Strategy. The Fiscal Adjustment Programme has fifty eight (58) budgetary policies and the Medium Term Growth and Development Strategy has four hundred and fifty nine (459) strategic initiatives. St. Lucia must do the same. We cannot be running around as headless chickens splattering blood...

CAN THE MOUSE ROAR?

By in Print

In 1997 I went to Anguilla to do a project on the Wallblake Airport. It was the first major construction project that a St. Lucian construction company, then B& D Construction Ltd, had tendered and won, and I was tasked to be the Project Manager. I lived there for about one year with a group of St. Lucians many of whom stayed back and became residents. It was my first experience with the little mouse that roared. In the 1960’s Anguilla was tied to St.Kitts and Nevis; however Anguillans were of the view that they were being neglected by then Premier Bradshaw. Ronald Webster led a group of Anguillans and staged our first coup in the English speaking Caribbean. The story ends with the British sending in paratroopers and the completely confused state of these soldiers when there was intense jubilation that they were landing in Anguilla. The “coup’ ended and Anguilla has remained a...

AN ALTERNATIVE TO THE 5% PAYCUT

By in Print

The need to deal with the fiscal deficit has forced the Government of St. Lucia to consider the unpalatable dose of a five percent pay cut for public servants. The economists are still not sure that such moves by the largest employer in small island economies actually do work. I also have my doubts. I read with interest, an article in BBC News Magazine which reported that a famous academic paper often used to make a case for austerity cuts contained major errors. In January 2010 Professor Carmen Reinhart and former chief economist at the IMF, Ken Rogoff presented a research paper entitled – Growth in a Time of Debt. The paper provided academic support to their conclusion that when the size of a country’s debt rises above 90% then economic growth slows dramatically. The article then introduces Thomas Herndon, a young graduate student at the University of Massachusetts, who took as his...

DEBT TRAP OR PONZI SCHEME – THE OECS ECONOMIES

By in Print

I listening with interest to an very irate Customs Officer expressing his disgust that he will be losing five percent of his hard earned income to finance Carnival revelry. He stated that Carnival is a business and he could not come to terms with the Government making a case for the removal of the subsidy on sugar and then giving duty free concessions and $ 1.1 million dollars to Carnival. He posited – Why should I contribute to these Band owners plunder? There is undoubtedly a need for a pre-frontal discourse on the debt situation of St. Lucia, and the conversation has to honest and factual. During the Small States Biennial Conference of the Commonwealth Secretariat held at Malborough House in July 2010, Ms Samantha Attridge presented a paper entitled ” Dealing with the Looming Debt Crisis of Commonwealth Small Vulnerable Economies”, It is an excellent analysis of...

ECONOMIC CITIZENSHIP – AN ALTERNATIVE DEVELOPMENT POLICY FOR ST LUCIA?

By in Print

The Governments of the Caribbean have a proclivity to adopt policies from large and more industrialized countries and attempt to implement these policies often with startling failure. There are distinct differences in the economy of a small island state and I continue to preach that there is need for our regional learning institutions to embrace their responsibility to become functional within our societies by engaging in relevant research. The Citizenship by Investment Programme has become the latest move to improve the fiscal position of OECS states. Let me say from the onset that there should be a common OECS position on this policy. You cannot have one country asking for $ 1.0 million and another asking for $ 300,000 XCD when you are in a common Economic space. In fact I would suggest that 10% of all Citizenship by Investment income in these OECS states should go to the OECS...

Why HESS Wants To Leave St Lucia

By in Print

While many in St. Lucia have been distracted by senseless debates on the decriminalization of marijuana and prostitution, significant events have occurred which will have a profound effect on all St. Lucians. The irony of the discussions on Prostitution is that is was based on a comment by an Independent Senator. As raw as it sounds, a reading of the constitution would show that Independent Senators are ‘constitutional irrelevances’. The Constitution created a Senate with very little power but to share ideas or alternative opinions on government policy. In fact the Constitution mandated the Governor General to choose Independent Senators based on set criteria. Section 24(c) states the following on the appointment of Independent Senators: two shall be appointed by the Governor-General, acting in his own deliberate judgment after he has consulted those religious, economic or social...

After Tomas – What Next?

By in Print

St. Lucia has been twice affected by significant island-wide flood damage in sixteen years. Tropical Storm Debbie hit in September 1994, and Hurricane Tomas visited on October 2010. This is a starling phenomenon, as each event has been described as 1 in 100 year events. If this is occurring so rapidly it means that all our hydrological design parameters have to change and a 1 in 20 year event is what was once a 1 in 100 yr event. Hurricane Tomas was a devastating occurrence and while the numbers for the damage are being tallied, undoubtedly it will be a huge sum. I believe we need to distinguish between the cost of the hurricane in overall damage to the island and the cost of the damage to the state owned sectors. One is not sure as to what sum the Prime Minister referred to when he identified a sum of $ 500 Million USD. Definitely, it cannot relate to state owned infrastructure, as I...

Tourism – Have We Got it Wrong?

By in Print

Recently, I was reading about the Budget 2010 in Barbados, and the serious financial state of that country. The Budget revealed a deficit of $ 814,634,684 Bd or $ 1.1 Billion XCD. This is a staggering figure for a country with a population about twice the size of St. Lucia. However there are some important lessons to be learned from Barbados. Tourism arrivals were down about 5.3% and are now on the upswing, and thus it is clear to any observer that this fiscal crisis was not caused by the decline in Tourism arrivals. The past robustness of the Barbados economy has been led by foreign direct investment in the high end villas and condominiums within the island. It is primarily this decline that has caused this shortfall in revenue. Our economists in St. Lucia would do well to observe the Barbados model and see how robust economic growth can be achieved and how to avoid the mistakes. The...